Washington State Ferries Vessels & Terminals - Terminal preservation backlog
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Terminal preservation backlog
Source: Washington State Ferries.
Performance analysis
FY2024
WSF terminal preservation backlog projections predict that 6.2% of systems will not be in a State of Good Repair after 10 years
If 100% of preservation funds as identified in the 2024 supplemental budget are programmed and utilized, WSF predicts 6.2% (by replacement cost) of the agency's terminal systems will not be in a SOGR by the end of FY2035. If the preservation funding level is reduced by 50%, the percentage of terminal assets not in SOGR is predicted to increase to 20.5% by the end of FY2035. A comparison of the two scenarios with the no-funding scenario (which would result in 34.8% of assets not in a SOGR) illustrates the impact of the funding on the SOGR of the terminal systems.
These projections differ from those made in FY2023 because WSF reprioritized its 16-year program based on updated inspections, fiscal constraints, resource availability, a need for minimized service impacts, and increased project costs. Some projects, initially planned for a start in the 2023-2025 biennium, have been delayed to the 2025-2027 and 2027-2029 biennia. Some projects also saw delays in completion times. The projections will likely change in the future as project costs increase and if adequate funding increases are not approved.
FY2023
WSF terminal preservation backlog projections predict that 11.8% of systems will not be in a State of Good Repair after 10 years
If 100% of preservation funds as identified in the 2023 biennial budget session are programmed and utilized, WSF predicts 11.8% (by replacement cost) of the agency's terminal systems will not be in a SOGR by the end of FY2033. If the preservation funding level is reduced by 50%, the percentage of terminal assets not in SOGR is predicted to increase to 23.5% by the end of FY2033. A comparison of the two scenarios with the no-funding scenario (which would result in 35.2% of assets not in SOGR) illustrates the impact of the funding on the SOGR of the terminal systems.
These projections differ from the 2021-2022 projections because WSF reprioritized its 16-year program based on updated inspections, fiscal constraints, deliverability, a need for minimized service impacts, and updated cost estimates. The projections will likely change in the future as project costs increase and if adequate funding increases are not approved.
FY2022
WSF terminal preservation backlog projections predict 2.9% of systems will not be in State of Good Repair by end of FY2025
If 100% of preservation funds are programmed, WSF predicts 2.9% (by replacement cost) of the agency's terminal systems will not be in a SOGR by the end of FY2025. At this funding level, the rate of terminal assets not in SOGR is expected to be 1% by the end of FY2031.
If the preservation funding level is reduced by 50%, the percentage of terminal assets not in a SOGR is predicted to increase to 7.1% by the end of FY2025. With no funding, the percentage of terminal assets not in a SOGR is predicted to increase to 11.3%.
If WSF's terminals funding is reduced, there will likely be a reduction in service reliability and an increase in maintenance costs. WSF is currently working to illustrate the impacts of funding shortfalls and the strategic approaches it plans to take to provide a safe and reliable transportation system.
FY2021
WSF terminal preservation backlog projections predict 6.8% of systems will not be in State of Good Repair by end of FY2023
If 100% of preservation funds are programmed, WSF predicts that 6.8% (by replacement cost) of the agency's terminal systems will not be in a SOGR by the end of FY2023. At this funding level, the rate of terminal assets not in SOGR is expected to be 1% by the end of FY2031.
If the preservation funding level is reduced by 50%, the percentage of terminal assets not in a SOGR is predicted to increase to 15.9% by the end of FY2031. With no funding, the percentage of terminal assets not in a SOGR almost doubles and is predicted to increase to 30.9%.
If WSF's terminals funding is reduced, there will likely be a reduction in service reliability and an increase in maintenance costs. WSF is currently working to illustrate the impacts of funding shortfalls and the strategic approaches it plans to take to provide a safe and reliable transportation system.
FY2020
WSF terminal preservation backlog projections indicate 3.6% decrease by FY2025
WSF's terminal preservation backlog is projected to be equivalent to 6.2% of the cost of replacing all 722 of the agency's terminal systems by the end of FY2021. At funding levels in the 2021 budget submittal, WSF's backlog is projected to decrease to 3.6% by the end of the FY2025, then increase to 5.9% by the end of the FY2029. Risk-based life cycle cost analysis balances the use of capital preservation funding and maintenance funding to maintain the assets in a SOGR at the least possible cost.
WSF recently replaced an aging ferry terminal at Mukilteo, and another major project is under construction at Seattle terminal that is scheduled for completion in 2023. Upon completion, the terminal preservation backlog will decrease to its lowest projected level over the upcoming 10-year period.
If the funding level is reduced by 50%, the backlog percentage is predicted to increase steadily to 17.5% by the end of the FY2029. If WSF's terminals funding is reduced, there will likely be a reduction in service reliability and an increase in maintenance costs. WSF is currently working to illustrate the impacts of funding shortfalls and the strategic approaches it plans to take to provide a safe and reliable transportation system.